Lessons

Saturday, October 1, 2011

Nifty long term flat interpretation...

If we are in a Wave 4 flat from 2006 ( wave 3 completed in 2006 ), then could we be seeing 2600-2300 range next year in Nifty to complete Wave C of the flat ?

Saturday, September 24, 2011

Tuesday, September 20, 2011

Nifty Sep 20 EW trend lines...

ASSUMING we are in Wave 4,
4.A = 4720-5170 = 450 = 7 days
4.B = 5170-4910 = 260 = 58% = 3 days
Expected 4.C = 5190 ( 61%*A ), 5360 ( A ) = 5 days
4.C.a=4910-5145=235
4.C.b=5145-5020=125 = 53%*A
4.C.c=5165 ( 62%*a ), 5255 ( a ), 5400 ( 1.62*A )
Wave 3 was 1000 points and 23 days.
Wave 4 is usually .38 of Wave 3 ( 380 points ) and same or more timeline than Wave 3.
If Wave 4 exceeds 5320 ( which is 50% of Wave 3 ), Wave 5 failure is possible.
So to me, if in 2 days we get to 5250, then 4.C and 4.A are same timeline
and 4.C covered good amount of 4.A. But Wave 4 will be short by 6 days when compared
to Wave 3. So possibility that we could meander in 4.C.c.(iv) for a long time ( 2-3 days ).
These are just my thoughts. And this could be off by a long margin too. DONT TRADE BASED ON THESE.

Monday, September 19, 2011

What is going on S&P long term ?

I am not sure if the below chart is right...but i am hoping to get some answers and save it permanently in this blog for reference.

Thursday, September 15, 2011

Sep 15...Nifty EW analysis...

What I missed yesterday, I see today. HINDSIGHT IS AWESOME...

Wednesday, September 14, 2011

Messed up Wave 4

With EW oscillator. Look at wave 4...how messed up...

Tuesday, September 13, 2011

Saturday, September 10, 2011

Bottoms and Tops

It is amazing how this simple principle seems to be holding true all the time - Bottoms respect previous tops and tops respect previous bottoms ( simple supports and resistences ). Look at this chart carefully and see how many times this has been true...

S&P

Make or break week ahead...